Surat: 1996–2025 compared with 1957–1986, by month.
Month
1957–1986
1996–2025
Change
January
22.0
22.1
+0.1
February
23.1
23.7
+0.6
March
26.2
26.8
+0.7
April
28.9
29.3
+0.4
May
29.9
30.3
+0.4
June
29.3
29.6
+0.3
July
27.8
28.1
+0.3
August
27.1
27.6
+0.5
September
27.4
28.0
+0.6
October
28.3
28.6
+0.3
November
26.4
26.7
+0.3
December
23.6
23.6
+0.1
In plain words: 12 of the 12 months are warmer now than in 1957–1986. The biggest change is in March (+0.7 °C).
Real dataModel estimate
Real data, model estimate. These numbers come from the ERA5 weather model (Copernicus), for a square about 28 km wide near the city. Good for “warmer or cooler than usual”. Not a thermometer: hills, coast and city heat can read differently. The latest three months are early figures.
Why does the earlier time start in 1957? Our model data over India reads too cold before about 1957, so an earlier start would make today look hotter than it really is. We start where the data is reliable and say so.
Past climate, not today’s weather forecast. Figures are model estimates, not weather-station records unless a page says so. See Data sources and methods. Pictures on this page are AI-generated editorial illustrations, not photographs.
