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What to watch for, month by month

The hazards that usually peak in each month in India, the festivals that bring crowds, and the guides to read first.

About this calendar

India does not have one safety season. The same week can bring a cold wave in Punjab, a cyclone alert on the Odisha coast and a landslide on a Uttarakhand road. This calendar lists what usually peaks in each month, the festivals and crowd events that tend to fall there, three lessons from our own case studies, and the guides worth reading first. It is built from IMD, NDMA, NCRB and health ministry material, and it states clearly when a figure is one year of record and not a forecast.

Open the current month first. Read the three actions, then the guides. Hazards differ by region, so use the month as a prompt and check IMD's Mausam app and your State Disaster Management Authority for your own area. Festival dates move every year; where we give a month it is a range, so check a current calendar. To get a reminder on the 1st of each month from November 2026 to October 2027, add the calendar file to your phone. The file contains only the month's short reminder and a link back to this page.

Choose a month

Festival dates move every year, so festivals are shown as a month or range, never an exact day. January, February and May rest on thinner sources and are marked; the page says so wherever it matters. How we know

This month

October: Puja crowds, crackers and the first cyclones

Navratri, Durga Puja, Dussehra and Diwali preparations; stubble burning begins; the post-monsoon cyclone season opens.

Hazards this month

  • The southwest monsoon withdraws from the entire country around 15 October (IMD recorded 16 October in 2025), and the northeast monsoon begins over Tamil Nadu and nearby coasts. S02 S01
  • The post-monsoon cyclone season opens (October to December). In 2025 IMD recorded Severe Cyclonic Storm Shakhti (1 to 7 October) and Montha (25 to 29 October). November has the main yearly peak. S01 S03
  • Paddy stubble burning in Punjab and Haryana. For 2026, CAQM deployed flying squads in 34 districts (18 in Punjab and 16 in Haryana) from 1 October to 30 November. S14
  • Festival crowds and temporary structures: pandal gates, barricades, electric wiring and rain. See the NDMA crowd list in our pandal guide. S21
  • Fireworks injuries: NCRB recorded 110 accidental fires caused by fireworks in 2024, with 112 people injured and 134 deaths over the year. S22

Festivals and crowds

  • Navratri, Durga Puja and Dussehra (usually fall in late September and October; in 2027 the central list places Dussehra in October)
  • Diwali (falls in October or November; in 2027 the central list places it in October, and in 2026 in November)
  • Karva Chauth, Dhanteras and Diwali shopping crowds (October or November)
  • Nashik-Trimbakeshwar Simhastha: opening flag-hoisting reported for 31 October 2026

Check the calendar for exact dates. Many cities set local cracker rules, so check your own city order.

Do this month

  1. At any pandal or mela, note two exits before you go in and leave if the crowd starts to push.

  2. Keep diyas on a steady, non-burning base and away from curtains; no open flame while a gas cylinder is being changed.

  3. Keep two buckets of water and one of sand near where crackers are lit, and keep children at a distance.

Lessons from our case studies

Guides to read

Sourcing for October: strong. Stubble-burning dates are from a Ministry statement carried by All India Radio. The fireworks numbers come via our own Diwali guide citing NCRB. Festival dates for 2026 and 2027 are given by month only.

Add reminders to my calendar

One all-day reminder on the 1st of each month for the next 12 months, with a short safety line and a link back to this page. The file is made in your browser. We receive nothing, and it holds no personal data.

Needs JavaScript. It downloads a .ics file that Google Calendar, Apple Calendar and Outlook can open.

How we know

Each hazard line is tied to the sources below by its code (S01 and so on). Hazard statements are anchored to the sources listed at the end. Counts drawn from IMD's annual report are for 2025 and are based on media reports, as the report says. They show what has happened, not what will happen. Last checked 19 October 2026.

Where the evidence is thin

  • January, February and May are marked "thinner sourcing". January and February rest on one year of IMD records (2025), not a long-term average, and we found no official source for winter-specific fire risk, so none is claimed. For May, the link between heat and building fires is only a press-reported expert view, and it is worded that way.
  • Death and event counts taken from the IMD annual report are for 2025 and are the report's own media-based counts. They show what was recorded in one year, not an average or a forecast.
  • We did not open monthly climate normals (how often cold waves or fog occur in each month). Month placement rests on the IMD 2025 report and NDMA pages. For normals, use IMD's climate pages.
  • Rath Yatra, Ganesh Chaturthi, Maha Shivratri, the start of Navratri and Durga Puja, Chhath, Sankranti, Pongal, Lohri and the wedding season have no official source here. They are stated only as a month or range with "usually", and the wedding season is unsourced.
  • The Nashik-Trimbakeshwar Simhastha dates come from a press report, and a second site gave conflicting dates. The page calls them "reported". The CBSE 2027 date sheet had not been published when we checked, so exam months are not dated.
  • Charcoal and generator carbon monoxide advice and the smog advice are general safety advice from our guides, not tied to an official source.

Sources (27)

This calendar shows what usually happens in each month. It is not a forecast. For warnings, use the IMD Mausam app, your State Disaster Management Authority and NDMA SACHET alerts.

Common questions

Are the festival dates exact?

No. Festivals follow the lunar calendar and move every year, so we give the month or a range, such as 'usually falls in October or November'. Check a current calendar or your city's notice for the exact day.

Is this a weather forecast?

No. It shows what usually happens in each month, using IMD and NDMA material and one recent year of IMD records. For a forecast, use the IMD Mausam app, the IMD website and the SACHET alerts from NDMA.

Why does my area not match the month shown?

India is large. The north has cold waves and fog in December while the south-east coast is in cyclone and northeast-monsoon season. Use the month as a prompt and check your own state's disaster authority and IMD district warnings.

What does the calendar file add to my phone, and does it hold personal data?

It adds one all-day reminder on the 1st of each month from November 2026 to October 2027. Each carries a short safety line and a link to this page. It holds no name, email, location or other personal data.

Who do I call in an emergency?

Dial 112 for any emergency, 101 for fire and 108 for an ambulance. Our guide to emergency numbers explains which to use, and a state-wise list covers local helplines.

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